11.06.10

Gemini version available ♊︎

Another Example of IDC Giving Bogus (Meaningless) Numbers and Mary Jo Foley Failing to Report the News

Posted in Deception, GNU/Linux, Microsoft, Red Hat, Servers at 1:02 am by Dr. Roy Schestowitz

Arguing with IDG

Summary: Why the impact and market share of GNU/Linux is understated and who is responsible for it

A FEW days ago we showed a Microsoft employee stating the obvious by saying that “Mary Jo does not [do real journalism] and that’s why she gets interviews at Microsoft” and on about a dozen of occasions we’ve explained why IDC’s numbers regarding GNU/Linux are meaningless and deceiving by design (IDC lies in many other areas, but just that’s how it makes money after all, by selling bias). IDG’s IDC is the Fox News of IT and even its own staff is admitting that they cheat or make claims up.

Our reader Wayne, whom we hope to have on our show (TechBytes) some time later this month, has just published a rebuttal to this whole nonsense from Microsoft, Mary Jo Foley, and IDC (which Microsoft routinely pays [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]). Here are some parts of Wayne’s long analysis.

I was pointed at an article on The Unofficial Apple Web Blog titled Xserve End Of Life: Some opinions and ideas about Apple’s server strategy. I read it, and the numbers didn’t make any sense, so I started looking. Steven Sande, writer of the TUAW article got his numbers from an article by Mary Jane Foley at ZDNet titled IDC: Windows Server still rules the server roost. Mary Jane, who should know better by now got her numbers from an IDC (International Data Corporation) Press Release.

Note the chain. Steve, to Mary Jane, to IDC.

[..]

Now it’s quite possible that Windows does have 75.3% of units shipped, that IDC tracked. Most large servers need to be reliable, and therefore they wouldn’t run Windows. If Windows was the primary OS installed on cheap commodity hardware, then the numbers might make sense.

Curiously the IDC study doesn’t cover servers shipped without an installed Operating System. There are a lot of companies that have an OS that they’ve tuned specifically for their requirements, either on their own, or using a company like Red Hat or Novell. And that’s another issue. Red Hat and Novell are two of the largest Linux Server Operating System vendors. They aren’t mentioned in the report. Why not? A quick look at Red Hat’s latest 10K filing with the American Securities and Exchange Commission shows that Red Hat booked revenues of $748 Million American Dollars!

Now this really puts ia different spin on things. Total sales of servers with a Microsoft Windows Server variant were reported as $5.1 Billion for Q1-2010. The IDC report says that sales of servers with Microsoft Windows Servers installed for Q4-2009 were $5.4 Billion. Let’s make a rash assumption – sales of servers with Microsoft Windows Server installed came to about $22.0 Billion for a full year.

[...]

OK, so let’s compare Red Hat to Microsoft. First off, Red Hat doesn’t sell Client Access Licenses. They don’t even really sell their software, they sell support contracts for it. So a direct comparison is hard to make, but Red Hat support for one year, with unlimited users, is less expensive than Microsoft Windows 2008R2 with only five users. And after the year is up, you can keep running your Red Hat system. Oh, Red Hat would rather that you continue to pay support, and using their support means you could probably employ a smaller IT staff, so it’s probably still less expensive to use Red Hat.

But Red Hat is probably installed on more systems than Microsoft Windows Server, based on the company’s own numbers.

Hold on – it get’s better still. Have you ever heard of CENT-OS (short for The Community ENTerprise Operating System)? CENT-OS is a totally open and free version of Red Hat. Yes, you heard me right. Free. As in Beer. No Cost. Estimates I have seen (which may or may not be accurate) say that CENT-OS is probably used on ten times as many servers as Red Hat!

So let’s see – someone is saying that Microsoft holds 75.3% of the server market by units shipped? How could this be?

Simple. IDC is only recording some of the data. Some of it, such as the number of White Box (generic hardware, assembled by smaller players in the server market) servers probably isn’t available to them. Some of it, they may be ignoring. It’s curious that all of the big server manufacturers offer bare servers (no operating system), but IDC didn’t provide any numbers for bare servers. IDC has been around a long time. They know about bare servers, so rather than curious I’d say that their ignoring them is down right suspicious.

Microsoft’s monopoly continues to depend (to a certain degree) on a lot of lies and alternation of perceptions. On some occasion 2 years ago Steve Ballmer admitted that “60 percent [of servers] run Linux…”

Mary Jo Foley and the likes of her should spend less time parroting Microsoft-funded entities and actually do the research (or ensure its validity). In the world of academia they would get an “F”.

Share in other sites/networks: These icons link to social bookmarking sites where readers can share and discover new web pages.
  • Reddit
  • email

Decor ᶃ Gemini Space

Below is a Web proxy. We recommend getting a Gemini client/browser.

Black/white/grey bullet button This post is also available in Gemini over at this address (requires a Gemini client/browser to open).

Decor ✐ Cross-references

Black/white/grey bullet button Pages that cross-reference this one, if any exist, are listed below or will be listed below over time.

Decor ▢ Respond and Discuss

Black/white/grey bullet button If you liked this post, consider subscribing to the RSS feed or join us now at the IRC channels.

12 Comments

  1. The Mad Hatter said,

    November 6, 2010 at 8:11 am

    Gravatar

    Re Ballmer and 60%, we know that Ballmer lies, he’s been caught doing it often enough. And when he lies, he lies to favor Microsoft.

    Therefore my personal suspicions are that the Linux Server market share is something along the line of 75% or higher. No, I can’t prove it. But of the companies I’ve talked to, the only Windows servers they are running are mail servers running Microsoft Exchange.

    Give them a good option, with 90% of the capabilities, and 50% of the costs (Disruptive Technology), and Exchange will go bye bye.

    Suggested reading – Clayton Christensen – The Innovator’s Dilemma.

    Wayne

    Dr. Roy Schestowitz Reply:

    I’m not sure they’ll need Exchange protocols, either (years down the line). When Windows loses dominance, so will Office, which in turn may render Exchange somewhat deprecated.

    The Mad Hatter Reply:

    Um, you missed my point. There needs to be a replacement for Exchange itself, not the protocols. Gmail is being used as an Exchange replacement in some places, but it hasn’t quite taken off, and I think that the reason is that most companies want to control their email server (this is based on conversations with IT people).

    But Exchange is damned expensive, for all of it’s options. So as I said, give them a Disruptive Technology, with 90% of the capabilities, and 50% of the costs, and Exchange will loose market share.

    Hell, you know what a hundred user Client Access License for Exchange costs. How many companies would look into something that would let them avoid that huge cost?

    Dr. Roy Schestowitz Reply:

    There are already replacements, they just need more exposure. See the following old list of options:

    http://techrights.org/2008/05/30/saving-students-from-the-latest-microsoft-lock-in-live-edu/

  2. The Mad Hatter said,

    November 6, 2010 at 9:47 pm

    Gravatar

    Ah, but so far they aren’t the right replacements. All too often they are trying to imitate MS Exchange, instead they need to redefine what a mail/calendar/appointment server is, and how it functions.

    After all, why try to imitate the lowest common denominator. Reach for the Stars!

    Wayne

    PS: Yes, this is a call for those projects to look at what they’ve done, and plan for the future.

    Dr. Roy Schestowitz Reply:

    This is done for the same reason that office suites support Microsoft formats. Thankfully we have ODF now.

    twitter Reply:

    I don’t think you are being fair to the replacements. You can call Kontact an Outlook replacement, for example, but that’s a serious insult to Kontact and misleads the reader. When you actually use the replacement, you start to find features and realize that the authors did “reach for the stars” and give themselves what they wanted. I’m not an Exchange expert, thank goodness, but I imagine it’s just a crude aping of Novel groupware, Lotus Notes and stuff from Sun. I’d be shocked if OpenLDAP and KDE Groupware did not provide far more in a more reliable package. Exchange, I’m sure, only looks useful if your desktops are crippled by Microsoft Windows.

    Dr. Roy Schestowitz Reply:

    …and Office (Outlook). That’s the point I was making earlier.

  3. The Mad Hatter said,

    November 8, 2010 at 1:53 am

    Gravatar

    FYI, I was doing research on another article, and I was looking up the OS market share stats as reported by Wikipedia, and noticed that they were quoting Mary Jane’s numbers, that they hadn’t even checked and noticed that her numbers didn’t match the IDC press release.

    I left them a note about it on the discussions page, with a link to my article. Wonder if they will fix it?

    Wayne

    Dr. Roy Schestowitz Reply:

    In your new piece (which we talk about in IRC at the moment) you overlook Wikipedia’s population bias, which I referred to directly in this recent post.

    The Mad Hatter Reply:

    Actually no, I didn’t. I even mentioned their statement about the problems of getting accurate numbers. And they’ve responded to my complaint, and fixed the figures.

    Yes, Wikipedia has problems. I disagree with a lot of things that they do. But at least they attempt to reach accuracy.

    The Mad Hatter Reply:

    BTW, forgot to mention that I absolutely love the image. It’s a beauty.

DecorWhat Else is New


  1. Links 19/10/2021: MyGNUHealth 1.0.5 and Ubuntu 22.04 Now Developed

    Links for the day



  2. [Meme] [Teaser] Thrown Under the Bus

    Tomorrow we shall look at Danish enablers of unlawful EPO regulations, Jesper Kongstad and Anne Rejnhold Jørgensen



  3. The World Needs to Know What Many Austrians Already Know About Rude Liar, the Notorious 'Double-Dipper'

    Today we publish many translations (from German) about the Austrian double-dipper, who already became the subject of unfavourable press coverage in his home country; he’s partly responsible for crushing fundamental rights at the EPO under Benoît Battistelli‘s regime



  4. The EPO’s Overseer/Overseen Collusion — Part XVI: The Demise of the Austrian Double-Dipper

    Friedrich ‘Rude Liar’ Rödler is notorious in the eyes of EPO staff, whom he was slandering and scandalising for ages while he himself was the real scandal



  5. Links 18/10/2021: Porteus Kiosk 5.3 and Ventoy 1.0.55

    Links for the day



  6. [Meme] [Teaser] More to Life Than Patents

    Greedy sociopaths oughtn’t be put in charge of patent offices; this is what’s dooming the EPO in recent years (all they think about is money



  7. Microsoft GitHub Exposé — Part II — The Campaign Against GPL Compliance and War on Copyleft Enforcement

    Microsoft contemplated buying GitHub 7.5 years ago; the goal wasn’t to actually support “Open Source” but to crush it from the inside and that’s what Microsoft has been doing over the past 2.5 years (we have some details from the inside)



  8. Links 18/10/2021: Linux 5.15 RC6 and 7 New Stable Kernels

    Links for the day



  9. [Meme] The Austrian School of Friedrich Rude Liar

    With reference to the Austrian School, let’s consider the fact that Friedrich Rude Liar might in fact be standing to personally gain by plundering the EPO‘s staff by demonising them while helping Benoît Battistelli crush them



  10. IRC Proceedings: Sunday, October 17, 2021

    IRC logs for Sunday, October 17, 2021



  11. How (Simple Technical Steps) to Convince Yourself That DuckDuckGo is Just Spyware Connected to Microsoft, Falsely Advertised as 'Privacy'

    In recent days we published or republished some bits and pieces about what DuckDuckGo really is; the above reader dropped by to enlighten us and demonstrate just how easy it is to see what DuckDuckGo does even at the client side (with JavaScript); more people need to confront DuckDuckGo over this and warn colleagues/friends/family (there’s more here)



  12. Austria's Right-Wing Politicians Displaying Their Arrogance to EPO Examiners

    The EPO‘s current regime seems to be serving a money-hungry lobby of corrupt officials and pathological liars; tonight we focus on Austria



  13. [Meme] Friedrich Rödler's Increasingly Incomprehensible Debt Quagmire, Years Before EPO Money Was Trafficked Into the Stock Market

    As it turns out, numerous members of the Administrative Council of the EPO are abundantly corrupt and greedy; They falsely claim or selfishly pretend there’s a financial crisis and then moan about a "gap" that does not exist (unless one counts the illegal gambling, notably EPOTIF, which they approved), in turn recruiting or resorting to scabs that help improve ‘profit margins’



  14. The EPO’s Overseer/Overseen Collusion — Part XV: Et Tu Felix Austria…

    Prior to the Benoît Battistelli and António Campinos regime the EPO‘s hard-working staff was slandered by a corrupt Austrian official, Mr. Rödler



  15. Links 17/10/2021: Blender 2.93.5, Microsoft Bailouts

    Links for the day



  16. Links 17/10/2021: GhostBSD 21.10.16 and Mattermost 6.0

    Links for the day



  17. IRC Proceedings: Saturday, October 16, 2021

    IRC logs for Saturday, October 16, 2021



  18. [Meme] First Illegally Banning Strikes, Then Illegally Taking Over Courts

    The vision of Team Battistelli/Campinos is a hostile takeover of the entire patent system, not just patent offices like the EPO; they’d stop at nothing to get there



  19. Portuguese Network of Enablers

    Instead of serving Portuguese people or serving thousands of EPO workers (including many who are Portuguese) the delegation from Portugal served the network of Campinos



  20. In Picture: After Billions Spent on Marketing, With Vista 11 Hype and Vapourware, No Real Gains for Windows

    The very latest figures from Web usage show that it’s hardly even a blip on the radar; Windows continues bleeding to death, not only in servers



  21. [Meme] [Teaser] Double-Dipping Friedrich Rödler

    As we shall see tomorrow night, the EPO regime was supported by a fair share of corrupt officials inside the Administrative Council



  22. The EPO’s Overseer/Overseen Collusion — Part XIV: Battistelli's Iberian Facilitators - Portugal

    How illegal “Strike Regulations” and regressive ‘reforms’ at the EPO, empowering Benoît Battistelli to the detriment of the Rule of Law, were ushered in by António Campinos and by Portugal 5 years before Campinos took Battistelli’s seat (and power he had given himself)



  23. Links 16/10/2021: SparkyLinux Turns 10 and Sculpt OS 21.10

    Links for the day



  24. “Facebook Whistleblowers” Aside, It Has Been a Dying Platform for Years, and It's Mentally Perverting the Older Generation

    Guest post by Ryan, reprinted with permission



  25. [Meme] Microsoft Has Always Been About Control Over Others

    Hosting by Microsoft means subjugation or a slavery-like relationship; contrary to the current media narrative, Microsoft has long been censoring LinkedIn for China’s autocratic regime; and over at GitHub, as we shall show for months to come, there’s a war on information, a war on women, and gross violations of the law



  26. EFF Pushes for Users to Install DuckDuckGo Software After Being Paid to Kill HTTPS Everywhere

    Guest post by Ryan, reprinted with permission



  27. The Reign in Spain

    Discussion about the role of Spain in the EPO‘s autocratic regime which violates the rights of EPO staff, including Spanish workers



  28. [Meme] Spanish Inquisition

    Let it be widely known that Spain played a role in crushing the basic rights of all EPO workers, including hundreds of Spaniards



  29. Why You Shouldn’t Use SteamOS, a Really Incompetent GNU/Linux Distribution With Security Pitfalls (Lutris is a Great Alternative)

    Guest post by Ryan, reprinted with permission



  30. IRC Proceedings: Friday, October 15, 2021

    IRC logs for Friday, October 15, 2021


RSS 64x64RSS Feed: subscribe to the RSS feed for regular updates

Home iconSite Wiki: You can improve this site by helping the extension of the site's content

Home iconSite Home: Background about the site and some key features in the front page

Chat iconIRC Channel: Come and chat with us in real time

Recent Posts