True Desktop Market Share for GNU/Linux

Posted in GNU/Linux at 8:12 am by Dr. Roy Schestowitz

Tux in money

Summary: A reader’s take on GNU/Linux market share and why some firms get it wrong

SEVERAL years ago we wrote many posts about GNU/Linux market share. We no longer do this because it’s a subject we’ve addressed very thoroughly. One reader sent us the following thoughts last night:

The problem with [Microsoft-backed] net statistics are they don't take into account 
deployments where there are less open net hits. Take academia, where hits 
might be limited to mostly intra-net, and costly outside access is limited. 
Take into account where Linux is greater in deployment in 3rd world countries.
Internet bandwidth is expensive, so open external usage is limited to those 
who can afford. Others may limit themselves to limited bandwidth with 
limited open browsing and E-mail.

So, net statistics do not tell the full picture of what is exactly out there.

The following is collated from http://www.w3schools.com/browsers/browsers_os.asp

Only annual month of May is shown for comparison:

       Win7    WinXP   MSFT   Linux   Mac    *nix
2011  36.50%  40.70%  85.20%  5.10%  8.30%  13.40%

       Win7    WinXP   MSFT   Linux   Mac    *nix
2010  18.90%  55.30%  88.30%  4.50%  6.70%  11.20%
2009   1.10%  67.20%  89.50%  4.10%  6.10%  10.20%

       Vista   WinXP   MSFT   Linux   Mac    *nix
2008   9.30%  74.00%  88.30%  3.60%  4.70%   8.30%
2007   2.80%  75.00%  87.10%  3.40%  3.90%   7.30%

       W2000   WinXP   MSFT   Linux   Mac    *nix 
2006  10.70%  74.20%  88.70%  3.40%  3.60%   7.00%
2005  19.40%  64.50%  90.00%  3.30%  2.90%   6.20%

       W2000   WinXP   MSFT   Linux   Mac    *nix
2004  29.60%  51.00%  91.10%  2.90%  2.50%   5.40%
2003  41.00%  31.40%  92.80%  2.20%  1.80%   4.00%

These show that Windows is on the decline and Linux is on the rise.

In my personal site, about 16% of the visitors (nearly 1,000 people per day) use GNU/Linux. When we had tools to check this in Techrights (before implementing heavy caching) we found that for a couple of years ~40% of our visitors used GNU/Linux.

Microsoft Starts Extorting Competitors by Proxy, Using Nokia’s Patents

Posted in Microsoft, Patents at 8:01 am by Dr. Roy Schestowitz

Elop the mole demonstrates Nokia “innovation”

Stephen Elop
Photo by Luca Sartoni

Summary: The extortion scheme of Microsoft and its mole inside Nokia moves into first gear

HERE IT GOES. We created a wiki page about MOSAID earlier this year because we saw this coming:

Microsoft and Nokia sue Apple for Patent Infringement (via a Holding Company)

Luxembourg based Core Wireless Licensing S.a.r.l. has sued Apple for patent infringement in the Eastern District of Texas. The recently filed complaint alleges that Apple’s communication devices such as iPads and iPhones infringe eight different Core Wireless patents. The Core Wireless family of patents focus primarily on communication protocols and the patent owner claims that the patents are infringed by any device that communicates using 2G, 3G, or 4G standards.

Core Wireless obtained its portfolio of 2,000 patents and pending applications from Nokia and (apparently) Microsoft. In 2011, the patent licensing entity MOSAID purchased Core Wireless. MOSAID itself is owned by the US private equity firm Sterling Partners.

Luxembourg, Eastern District of Texas, Microsoft. All the ingredients for a scary movie plot. Are regulators brave enough to watch? Will they step in to halt this anti-competitive conspiracy?

Novell Decommissioned

Posted in Novell at 7:49 am by Dr. Roy Schestowitz

Summary: News about Novell becoming scarce and OpenSUSE Weekly News reaching the end of the line

WE will no longer keep track of Novell as closely as we have since the company was sold. The reason is, there is not much to cover. SUSE became a tool/marionette of Microsoft just over 7 months ago, Microsoft got Novell’s patents more than a year ago, and Novell is being liquidated (physical assets sold). When new releases come out [1, 2, 3, 4] it will make sense to say a few words, but not many releases come out anymore, not under Attachmate’s leadership. Why? Because it is too passive, hardly ever caring about Novell.

“SUSE is now just a subsidiary for Microsoft to sell its Microsoft-taxed GNU/Linux, primarily at Red Hat’s expense.”Novell’s PR front delivered just two posts in a whole month [1, 2] (it used to be almost daily) and the OpenSUSE site has something to say only about once a week [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6]. One of those updates is about the demise of OpenSUSE Weekly News and another about a death. SUSE staff moves on to other ventures such as ownCloud and looks for more staff or support [1, 2]. The residue of SUSE is still around, but the SUSE focus is long gone, except in some HOWTOs. SUSE is now just a subsidiary for Microsoft to sell its Microsoft-taxed GNU/Linux, primarily at Red Hat’s expense.

Looking at some recently-uploaded videos, we were able to find Novell promotion in YouTube, as well as old press appearances (also in German). We’re afraid there’s not much more to say about Novell; the company is history, so finding news about it has become very hard.

Novell’s Buyer, Attachmate, is Financially Troubled

Posted in Australia, Novell at 7:33 am by Dr. Roy Schestowitz

Summary: Attachmate receives very bad ratings and cancels its call for loans (more debt)

THE buyer of Novell had debt and could barely buy Novell. The whole sale smells like some kind of corruption and there is secrecy around it. Novell is being liquidated now, as Glyn Moody alleged. Consider the fact that Attachmate is not new to controversy; its CEO was arrested for mass-murdering animals with a firearm. Attachmate’s purchase of Novell faces a lot of opposition from Novell shareholders, but that was not enough to stop it. Attachmate debt and fragility will most likely mean the death of Novell. Microsoft gets Novell’s patents, Attachmate puts the rest in the graveyard. It’s cheaper than buying the whole lot and it also evades regulators (although CPTN did receive some scrutiny at the end).

AttachMSFTLast month we wrote about a major downgrade of Attachmate and later on we showed some desperate moves. Attachmate has since then cancelled the call for loans (which made the company’s evaluation drop):

Credit Suisse AG was arranging the debt, which included a $300 million incremental first-lien term loan due in April 2017 and a $100 million incremental second-lien term loan due October 2017, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

More here:

Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services said that its rating and outlook on Attachmate Corp. are not affected following the company’s announcement that it has withdrawn its proposed $609 million dividend recapitalization transaction.

This cancellation was too late because Moody’s says Attachmate’s B2 rating and negative outlook not affected by cancelled dividend transaction. The company is still going down the drain and Forbes mentions it in a related context:

Still, dividend activity remains inside the $8.7 billion monthly average of the liquidity-drenched opening half of 2011. And the fact that Attachmate recently pulled its transaction shows that investors have limits and are not willing to go along with the most aggressive dividend proposals.

The planned dividend was large. Attachmate was seeking to pay out $609 million, comprising the entire cash equity position of the owners plus an estimated $40-50 million of additional payout. Although the absolute increase in leverage was not outsized at a one-turn increase, to 3.7x, investors were wary about the business trend line. Indeed, the recent Attachmate-Novell merger represents cost-cutting play as opposed to the equity-friendly growth story pitched by Asurion. Existing lenders were in a power position, having to amend to approve the incremental debt used to fund the dividend, and second-lien investors in particular were concerned about the additional first-lien debt coming in ahead of them. And some investors felt that the corresponding leverage would be uncomfortably close to Attachmate’s total valuation in a downside scenario.

Not to end on too pessimistic a note, Attachmate still has presence in Australia and this is perhaps the only area of expansion based on what we’ve seen in the press this year and last year. Here is a new example:

Lilli’s commercial space also now houses US IT company Attachmate, which has made the building its Melbourne headquarters. The company is occupying half the building’s 2500 sq m of office space.

They are lucky to have some major contracts in Australia; there are some actual products in Attachmate, but announcements about them are rare. Press releases reveal staff that left the company and since it’s a private company it is hard to say whether Attachmate is quietly collapsing.

Novell Sells Its Home

Posted in Novell at 7:11 am by Dr. Roy Schestowitz

Novell in Provo

Summary: The Novell Tower is up for sale

The following new video of the Provo HQ was uploaded some days ago to YouTube::

It was days later that we began seeing articles like this one:

The Salt Lake City Office of CBRE Group, Inc. (CBRE) announced that it has been selected by Novell, Inc., a global enterprise software leader and wholly owned subsidiary of the Attachmate Group, to arrange the sale/leaseback of Novell Tower and the sale of six office buildings in the adjacent East Bay Business Park. The campus includes a total of nearly 900,000 SF of office space.

Here is more from the local press:

Novell Inc. announced Monday it has selected CBRE Group Inc. in Salt Lake City to arrange the sale/lease back of the Novell Tower and the sale of six office buildings in the adjacent East Bay Business Park in Provo. Novell will continue to manage the day-to-day operations of the property without change after the sale.

According to a CBRE news release, the sale will include a total of nearly 900,000 square feet of office space. While Novell will lease back the Tower and cafeteria portions of the property, the other six buildings, currently occupied by a number of companies or vacant, will be sold and not leased back.

More here:

The Salt Lake City office of CBRE Group Inc. has been selected to handle the sale of six office buildings owned by Novell Inc. in Provo’s East Bay Business Park.

CBRE also will try to arrange the sale and lease back of the adjacent Novell Tower, an eight-story, 397,346-square-foot structure that will continue to house Novell’s operations in Utah.

“Provo is the center of technology and technological innovation in Utah, and Novell has been a big part of the city’s evolution and rich history,” said Bob Flynn, president of Novell.

We may come back to this subject later. The important thing is, for the time being, Novell is being liquidated and dismantled under Attachmate’s leadership.

Links – Censorship, Email and Anti-Science

Posted in Site News at 4:50 am by Guest Editorial Team

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