Bonum Certa Men Certa

The Patent Litigation Bubble is Imploding in the US While the UPC Dies in Europe

Scientists have the upper hand after all; the so-called 'litigation industry' loses grip

"The day that the software sector forms a clear front against software patents, as pharma does for a unitary patent system… will be the day our cause comes close to winning."

--Pieter Hintjens



Summary: The meta-industry which profits from feuds, disputes, threats and blackmail isn't doing too well; even in Europe, where it worked hard for a number of years to institute a horrible litigation system which favours global plaintiffs (patent trolls, opportunists and monopolists), these things are going up in flames

THOSE who make a living out of science and technology may sometimes pursue patents. Readers of ours, including workers of the European Patent Office (EPO), already know too well that we're not against patents, we're against software patents. Some people make a living out of litigation alone, notably lawyers and patent trolls. They're parasites that merely tax science and technology and it would be a shame if these parasites took over the patent system -- a subject we'll address in our next post.



In reality, however, the trend in the US is encouraging; litigation that involves patents -- typically software patents -- has nose-dived and patent maximalists' front groups hope for salvation, bringing up news from as far back as October. "ICYMI," (in case you missed it) they wrote this week, "Fmr. @USPTO Dir. Kappos and Judge Michel in @MorningConsult: #SupremeCourt decisions on #patent subject matter eligibility are undermining health care #innovation. https://morningconsult.com/opinions/supreme-court-patent-decisions-stifling-health-care-innovation/ …"

"In case you missed it," I've told them, "David Kappos is now a lobbyist. USPTO encourages this kind of corruption." (former officials becoming lobbyists)

Meanwhile, Dennis Crouch published for patent maximalists and then revealed just how patent maximalists react to the implosion of the patent litigation bubble in the United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO). "District Court Patent Litigation Way Down," says the headline, which is based on data from LexMachina. To quote: "There are several ways to measure the relative amount of patent litigation — but the easiest way is to look at new case filings. The chart below comes from LexMachina data and includes a forecast for the remainder of 2018. Note the continued slide in patent infringement complaints — down about 45% from 2013."

We took note of it earlier this year. It's pretty remarkable. It's also devastating to courts that gambled on attracting trolls.

Now, what about Europe? Data indicates that patent trolls are definitely on the rise in the EU, especially in Germany. This is exactly what Team UPC wants as many of the pertinent firms work for patent trolls, many of which aren't even European.

Yesterday we stumbled upon not one but several misleading news articles and blog posts. Here's a short roundup. "Guest contributor" (anonymous person who could just as well be a PR agent of the EPO) wrote this nonsense in a so-called 'news' site called "EU Reporter" (little but a marketing site). It's like an EPO press release (almost). Who's behind it?

Kluwer Patent blogger (probably Bristows) has meanwhile published "US Food Drug Administration will follow EMA and relocate in Amsterdam". This may sound like a post about EMA, but it then goes on (pivots) to the completely unrelated lies about the UPC. This is what it said yesterday:

Whether the Brexit will lead to a relocation of the central division of the Unified Patent Court (UPC), specialized in life sciences and envisaged for London, is still an open question. Supporters of the Unitary Patent system hope the UK can stay in the system and London can keep its court branch. There has been a lot of debate whether this is possible – and even more about the question whether the UP system is likely survive the Brexit and the German constitutional challenge.

At a conference earlier this week however, Attilio Fontana, governor of the Italian region of Lombardy, made clear that he thinks the London based branch of the UPC central division should be assigned to the city of Milan.

According to the Italian press agency Ansa he said that after losing the EMA to Amsterdam: “Milan and Lombardy are the best place for the location of the patent court. (…) we must not make the same mistakes as happened with the assignment of the EMA. (…) The seat has to be reviewed immediately after the Brexit, and a joint effort is required of the Lombard government, region and municipality. The conditions for the assignment, I believe, are all there.”

Since the Brexit referendum of June 2016, organisations and government officials in Italy have claimed several times (see this post, for instance) the London division of the UPC should go to Milan.


Notice how they pack the two famous lies (that UPC is about to start and the UK can join with it only being a question/matter of time). It would not at all surprise us if Bristows wrote the above, exploiting the EMA news to interject these lies (repetition).

We've just noticed similar talking points from Morrison & Foerster LLP's Alistair Maughan, Wolfgang Schoenig, Sana Ashcroft, Robert Grohmann and Jana Fuchs and this from Herbert Smith Freehills LLP's Sebastian Moore, Sara Balice and Martina Maffei. They published something titled "Italy Moves the Unitary Patent a Step Closer" to give the completely false illusion (delusion) that UPC is coming. Never mind if 'unitary' patents were never enshrined/granted and whether Italy can at all do anything when Germany refuses to ratify (Germany is far more important to this than Italy).

As it stands, there's no "agreement between the UK and EU27", only a proposed one that will likely get rejected anyway, but watch what "Cambridge Network" published yesterday. It let a bunch of litigation firms lie about the UPC e.g. "retaining the UK in the Unitary Patent Court" (retaining something which does not exist and will never exist?).

Here's the relevant part:

The document on the intended future economic relationship contains a single point on Intellectual Property: “Protection and enforcement of intellectual property rights beyond multilateral treaties to stimulate innovation, creativity and economic activity”. The meaning of this point is not clear, but could refer to retaining the UK in the Unitary Patent Court (‘enforcement beyond multilateral treaties’) and extending the reach of the EUIPO post-Brexit to the UK (‘protection beyond multilateral treaties’). This will be something to watch closely.


We understand that people who make a living from litigation want lots and lots of patent lawsuits. We totally get that. But at whose expense? Europe needs to find the balance between patents and innovation; overpatenting demonstrably harm innovation. UPC is all about overpatenting (so as to spur more lawsuits).

Recent Techrights' Posts

Gemini Links 11/01/2026: Scott Morgan and 'The Unix Way'
Links for the day
IBM to Be 'Reorganised'
The rich look for ways to 'monetise' what's left IBM
Dr. Andy Farnell Explains Why He'll Stop Sending E-mail to Microsoft and Gmail Users
The article is long and well worth reading
GNOME Foundation's Microsoft Developer Account
"Lately they're teaming up with Mozilla to eliminate middle click paste - something which I use continuously."
Links 10/01/2026: "Abolish ICE or GTFO", Calls to Ban X/Twitter From Apple/Google App Stores (or Implement National Blocks) Over MElon Turning It Into Non-consensual Deepfake Porn Site
Links for the day
EPO People Power - Part XXX - New Year Starts, Cocainegate Still Discussed a Lot, António Campinos Desperate for Distraction From It
Why the sudden change or 'generosity'? [...] Actual cocaine addicts caused nervous breakdowns among sober people
 
Links 11/01/2026: Bob Weir and Stewart Cheifet Perish
Links for the day
Higher Adoption Rates of GNU/Linux in Cyprus in Recent Years
there are some Cypriots who are championing Free software
Microsoft's linkedin.com is Shrinking, Expect LinkedIn Layoffs to Carry on in 2026
Expect the mass layoffs and office closures to carry on there, maybe as early as next week
Over at Tux Machines...
GNU/Linux news for the past day
IRC Proceedings: Saturday, January 10, 2026
IRC logs for Saturday, January 10, 2026
Monday, January 12, Red Hat Layoffs Allegedly Planned
We'll update this post or follow up if or when we get more information
Slop Still Becoming Rare as Another Week Ends
Generally speaking, calm and quiet is desirable, it's what we hope for (an absence of slop, a lack of need to keep abreast of it, ultimately)
Links 10/01/2026: Iran Offline, Venezuelans Decry Civilian Casualties
Links for the day
GAFAM Wants War
Go war! Go bailouts! Go debt! Go Wall Street!
GNU/Linux and Chromebooks Rose to Almost 10% in Haiti
What's noteworthy is that this month GNU/Linux is measured at around 8% and ChromeOS at about 2%
2026 Might be the Year Microsoft Replaces Layoffs With Mass Firings (No Severance Payments to Dismissed Staff)
It's hard to "see" PIPs unless insiders blow the whistle
IBM and Microsoft Hiding Layoffs in Similar, Overlapping Ways
Performance Improvement Plans aplenty
IBM is a Cancer That Attaches Itself to Everything
Red Hat should have remained an independent company
Links 10/01/2026: STV Layoffs (Scottish TV), “CBS Evening News” in Chaos (Culls and Censorship by the US Regime)
Links for the day
Over at Tux Machines...
GNU/Linux news for the past day
IRC Proceedings: Friday, January 09, 2026
IRC logs for Friday, January 09, 2026
Gemini Links 10/01/2026: Blackout, E-Waste, and Secondary Smartphone
Links for the day
Plot Twist: Microsoft MSN Relays Articles Hinting at or Pointing to Mass Layoffs Soon, Other Gossip
the narrative from Microsoft's "PR bunny" (Shaw) is showing mold already
Links 09/01/2026: Google and Character.AI Implicitly Accept Chatbots Kill Kids and GLP-1 ‘Slimming Pens’ Turn Out to be a Lot Worse Than Advertised
Links for the day
'Vibe Coding' is Not "AI", It's a Sewer, It is Junk
Linus Torvalds was wrong. 'Vibe coding' isn't good for anything.
GNU/Linux May be Approaching 10% "Market Share" in Montenegro
The surge started around 2021
At IBM, "Employee Reviews" (or Appraisals in the UK) Are a "Trojan Horse" for RAs (Mass Layoffs), a Waste of Time
comments from IBMer serve to suggest that appraisals can be precursors
Links 09/01/2026: Technical Blogging Lessons Learned and Google's Gmail Getting a Lot Worse
Links for the day
More IBM Layoffs in India
If IBM cannot afford to retain workers in India, then something is truly "out of control" at IBM
Escaping GAFAM Colonialism Requires Homegrown Free Software
GNU/Linux now measured at 3% in Zambia
Dr. Richard Stallman Has Done No Harm to the GNU Project or the FSF (He Had Benefited Both, Always, Even After the Attacks on Him Began)
Some people try to prevent Dr. Stallman from speaking or having a platform where many people can hear him
GNU/Linux at 4% in Saudi Arabia, Says statCounter
Some years ago Windows fell to a "market share" of just 11% there
Microsoft Isn't Denying the Mass Layoffs
Still silence from Microsoft
In Western Africa GNU/Linux Flirts With 5% Market Share
there's a gradual increase in GNU/Linux usage there
Gemini Links 09/01/2026: Pro1 X Repair and the Mercury Protocol
Links for the day
Links 09/01/2026: Cambodia and China Extradition, "NATO’s High-risk Patrols Near Ukraine"
Links for the day
No, Microsoft Did Not Deny the Q1 Mass Layoffs (Microsoft Can Delay These)
Maybe they disperse or delay the layoffs (changing plans), but the layoffs are going to happen
Only One Person in Charge of Fedora is Not IBM Staff
This is not a community project, it's just a way for IBM to onboard unpaid volunteers
This Is Not a Drill, GNU/Linux is Really Going 'Mainstream' on Laptops (and Desktops)
It is important to explain to people software freedom
IBM Albany Layoffs
not only did many in the site lose their job; there's more to come "and likely another one in February" (weeks from now)
EPO Workers' Industrial Action to Include Many Strikes, to Last Several Months
In some ways, The Hague and Bavaria are becoming almost indistinguishable from Moscow
EPO People Power - Part XXIX - Getting DER SPIEGEL, FAZ, Deutschlandfunk and Sueddeutsche Zeitung (SZ) to Cover EPO Scandals
We kindly ask our readers to contact their local media and urge it to cover the scandals
Over at Tux Machines...
GNU/Linux news for the past day
IRC Proceedings: Thursday, January 08, 2026
IRC logs for Thursday, January 08, 2026