09.26.09
Analysts Say That Vista 7 Will Fail to Spur Sales
Summary: Vista 7 — like Windows Vista — is expected to lead to overstocking in the face of low demand
IN RECENT posts about the reality behind Vista 7 we showed that CIOs already reject Vista 7, which they have no intention to deploy. Adding insult to injury, people begin to realise that on technical merits too Vista 7 is simply failing, so it is not just a matter of sales and economics.
According to a new report, Vista 7 will not spur sales as Microsoft would have IDC publicly suggest (by paying IDC a lot of money).
Windows 7 will not kick-start PC sales
[...]
Digitimes, which has been chatting with analysts, found that none of them thought that people will rush to replace their PCs this year.
The original report from Digitimes concludes by saying that “Since Windows 7 may not spur significant demand in the consumer market, over optimistic suppliers may end up suffering from overstocked inventories, the sources warned.”
This also happened with Windows Vista. Shops got channel-stuffed by Microsoft, which called those inventories “sales”. Some of these shops went out of business and blamed Vista. █
“Acer and Intel, for example, are already complaining that Windows 7 Starter Edition simply won’t sell.”
David Gerard said,
September 26, 2009 at 4:40 am
You know, I wasn’t sure Windows 7 was really going to be another Vista until the jawdroppingly horrible party video was released. That nailed it.
Roy Schestowitz Reply:
September 26th, 2009 at 4:46 am
It looks like a cookery party.
David Gerard Reply:
September 26th, 2009 at 5:05 am
Or a cult suicide. “Here is a Windows 7 DVD.Here is a bottle of vodka. Here is a gun with one bullet.”
Roy Schestowitz Reply:
September 26th, 2009 at 5:16 am
I didn’t see that part of the video. I could not stand it after the first 30 seconds. I thought it was a spoof.
David Gerard Reply:
September 26th, 2009 at 5:30 am
From the marketers that brought you Seinfeld and Gates!
David Gerard Reply:
September 26th, 2009 at 5:32 am
Seriously. “People are talking about it. So it’s a success. Look, my statistics are up!”
One day Microsoft might realise that what’s good for the PR department’s annual reviews may just happen to add the stench of death to the product itself.
Roy Schestowitz Reply:
September 26th, 2009 at 5:55 am
They tried some viral ads for Vista (Bruce Springsteen style); eventually, Vista did not succeed.
David Gerard Reply:
September 26th, 2009 at 9:50 am
http://notnews.today.com/?p=667
Roy Schestowitz Reply:
September 26th, 2009 at 9:57 am
When did Mary marry Robert?
David Gerard Reply:
September 26th, 2009 at 10:43 am
I assumed they were all the same person, and only used different first names and photos for professional reasons.
Roy Schestowitz Reply:
September 26th, 2009 at 11:01 am
They have very unique styles. You could match post to person almost blindly.
twitter said,
September 26, 2009 at 9:46 pm
Heh, the Digitimes article is actually an exercise in excuse making for M$. Way back at the January CES it was obvious that retailers, “burt by Vista”, did not think of Windows 7 as a sales driver. Blaming the expected low sales on corporate and government cycles is lame. If there was significant demand for Vista 7, people would give it to each other for Christmass. As it is, people view yet another version of Windows with all the fun and excitement of going to the dentist.
Roy Schestowitz Reply:
September 27th, 2009 at 12:18 am
You can treat the excuses separately from the facts and the words of analysts. Digitimes tried to “balance” it.
twitter Reply:
September 27th, 2009 at 1:16 am
Here are the facts that I’ve managed to gather. One that I forgot about is that UAC does not meet US government security standards, so we should not expect government to buy into Vista 7. Nor should we expect corporate buyers because they often deal with and follow federal standards and information. Your observation about early CIO rejection seems to fit that pattern, though both government and CIOs have many other issues with Vista 7.