01.08.09

Microsoft’s Highly Confidential GNU/Linux Share Figures (2003)

Posted in Antitrust, GNU/Linux, Microsoft at 9:47 am by Dr. Roy Schestowitz

Antitrust exhibit unleashed

According to Microsoft’s own intelligence, almost 20% of the organisations in Brazil intended to move to GNU/Linux in 2003. Is that why Microsoft sends lackeys over there [1, 2]?

Microsoft calls this “Linux Heat Map.” It pretty much contradicts claims that Microsoft is not bothered by desktop GNU/Linux.

Linux heat map
View large image
View the original PDF

That’s Microsoft own estimation and that’s just for desktops in 2003. GNU/Linux has gained a lot since.

“[If I ask you who is Microsoft's biggest competitor now, who would it be?] Open…Linux. I don’t want to say open source. Linux, certainly have to go with that.”

Steve Ballmer (Microsoft’s CEO), February 28th, 2008

Update: Here it is in ODF format, thanks to a reader who transcribed it by hand. Some of the numbers were hard to make out, so the reader would not claim 100% accuracy.

Share in other sites/networks: These icons link to social bookmarking sites where readers can share and discover new web pages.
  • Reddit
  • email

This post is also available in Gemini over at:

gemini://gemini.techrights.org/2009/01/08/microsoft-2003-linux-intelligence/

If you liked this post, consider subscribing to the RSS feed or join us now at the IRC channels.

Pages that cross-reference this one

19 Comments

  1. Dan O'Brian said,

    January 8, 2009 at 9:57 am

    Gravatar

    It pretty much contradicts claims that Microsoft is not bothered by desktop GNU/Linux.

    Where does it show that Brazil is moving to Linux on the desktop?

    It might be true, I don’t know, but the “proof” you supplied does not show that at all. It just says Linux (which could just as easily be on servers or some mix).

    The 20% you mentioned for Brazil is also just percentage of businesses evaluating-or-deploying Linux, just wanted to be clear that it isn’t the percentage of businesses actually running Linux (which is nearer to 0.4% to 4%, depending on the business size).

    It should also be noted that these figures don’t tell us how many of the servers/desktops at these businesses run Linux. For all we know, it could just be 1 machine or it could be all of them (or anywhere in between).

  2. Dan O'Brian said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:01 am

    Gravatar

    The 20% you mentioned for Brazil is also just percentage of small/medium sized businesses.

    Although, to be fair, there is a good percentage of other sized businesses evaluating Linux as well.

    (MidMarket: 26.6% and Enterprise: 13%)

  3. Roy Schestowitz said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:01 am

    Gravatar

    “Forty percent of servers run Windows, 60 percent run Linux…”

    Steve Ballmer (September 2008)

  4. Dan O'Brian said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:04 am

    Gravatar

    And… that refutes my comments, how, exactly?

  5. Dan O'Brian said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:17 am

    Gravatar

    In case it still hasn’t sunk in yet, my point is that this data sheet taken completely out of context (which it is), is useless for drawing any meaningful conclusions about how badly Linux is eating into Microsoft’s install-base (on either servers or desktops).

  6. twitter said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:20 am

    Gravatar

    Dan, it’s hard to parse the phrase “primary OS” as anything but desktop OS, unless M$ recommends dual booted servers. Besides that, Windows on the desktop is where M$’s big money comes from. Servers to them are more of a way to keep that lock in than they are a source of revenue. The figures have only gotten worse for them since the Vista Failure.

  7. Roy Schestowitz said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:32 am

    Gravatar

    Dan,

    I’ve been busy doing something else while you carried on spewing your usual heckles.

    If you hate this site so much, read another site.

  8. Dan O'Brian said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:37 am

    Gravatar

    twitter: I don’t think Primary OS means desktop, necessarily.

    However, after re-examining the sheet it seems I was missing the “% Organizations that will Change Primary OS to Linux” row which is the row that had 19%, 26.6%, 13% (which I mistakenly noted in a previous comment as being from the “Evaluating…” row).

    Phrased like that, I would suspect that “Primary OS” likely means that the businesses are planning on installing Linux on a majority of the machines they have – hence “Primary OS”. I doubt they are talking about dual-booting here.

    So it’s a bit clearer than I had originally read, but we still don’t know how many of those businesses actually stuck with Linux (I remember a lot of businesses at that time making a big fuss about switching to Linux only to later discover that their purpose was to get a cheaper price from Microsoft).

  9. Roy Schestowitz said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:39 am

    Gravatar

    I should have the text soon.

  10. Dan O'Brian said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:43 am

    Gravatar

    Roy: “the text” as in the rest of the context that this chart was meant to be viewed with?

    If so, could you consider, in the future, posting these sorts of things in the same article rather than posting the chart alone and then the context in a later article?

    I think it would help everyone (including yourself).

  11. Roy Schestowitz said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:48 am

    Gravatar

    I’ll modify this one as I go along.

  12. Roy Schestowitz said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:54 am

    Gravatar

    Okay, ODF-formatted sheet added.

  13. Master Myztry said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:55 am

    Gravatar

    Virtualization and Terminal Services will be important in the transition.
    A lot of the original Windows boxes commonly had a Telnet connection to the existing mainframe software.
    In situations where Linux is rising, Windows becomes like the (legacy) mainframe. Thus the overlap of Operating Systems.

  14. AlexH said,

    January 8, 2009 at 11:13 am

    Gravatar

    It would be interesting to compare Microsoft’s numbers with other people’s. I doubt Microsoft is gathering these numbers directly; it would be interesting to see who they trust (since this is effectively competitor analysis).

  15. twitter said,

    January 8, 2009 at 11:28 am

    Gravatar

    Dan, there are some very good public indicators of where things have gone since M$ made this chart. Especially telling is the US market, which was one of the lowest GNU/Linux adaptors at the time. As early as July 2007, a Patchlink study of 250 businesses found GNU/Linux migration plans up from 2% to 8%. By November more than 40% of IT pros had plans to leave Windows in the next year. In April of 2008, Gartner declared the collapse of Windows. At the same time more commercial developers had switched to GNU/Linux than Vista. By the end of the year both large and small businesses were planning to skip Vista, leaving OSX and GNU/Linux to take up the slack. I have not seen recent numbers but they have to look worse for M$ – the only thing the company had going for them was a set of inferior defacto standards. With both large business and government looking to get away from those standards, that advantage is nullified.

  16. zeke123 said,

    February 4, 2009 at 3:33 pm

    Gravatar

    You had a few links to Brazil yesterday like:
    http://ostatic.com/blog/brazilian-ministry-of-education-embraces-open-source-in-a-big-way

    and I just found in my links this April post from KDE developer Mauricio Piacentini:
    http://piacentini.livejournal.com/7871.html

    50,000,000 brazilian students will be using KDE based Gnu-Linux distros once their project is completed by the end of this year.
    Yeah, these are not buyers but users which is an important distinction.

    I travelled to Brazil in 2006 and Venezuela in 2008 and got to learn a lot about the Brazilan recycling programs for old hardware for the favelas. Both countries have a rich upper class and a huge dirt poor population although Venezuela is light years ahead in terms of accessibility to education (imagine the nerve of that bastard Chavez giving medical and dental care to the 75% of the population which has never seen a dentist or doctor).
    Gnu-Linux is an important component when it comes to recycling old and still usable hardware and their purchases of new equipment is overwhelmingly penguinlike.
    Most importantly the Brazilian FLOSS community is huge and vibrant and recognizes the importance of collaboration and controlling their own destiny.

    I would say that the Brazilian Gnu-Linux deployments are the largest anywhere on the planet and its community one of the strongest. Of course, in the anglophone world, it might as well be invisible.

  17. Roy Schestowitz said,

    February 4, 2009 at 4:02 pm

    Gravatar

    We have a regular contributor here from Brazil. The Linux mindshare (and market share) over there is high.

  18. David Gargan said,

    February 19, 2009 at 2:37 pm

    Gravatar

    I am very interested in the topic of market share of MS vs Open Source in Brasil. I am thinking of moving to Brasil shortly and was considering on how to leverage my IT skills in that market.
    I am currently a Livelink consultant with most of that experience on Windows (I am MCSE NT4) though I do have some exposure to Sun OS (Solaris 7).
    Should I be considering becoming more proficient at the Open Source or is MS making enough progress in Brasil that I may find opportunities by cerifying at the newer MSCE levels?

    Thanks inadvance, I would really like to get in contact with your Brazilian contributor (Eu falo Portugues).

  19. Roy Schestowitz said,

    February 19, 2009 at 4:20 pm

    Gravatar

    David,

    There are many videos right here that you may find informative. These includes chats with people who provide GNU/Linux training in Brazil. Let me know if you need more resources.

What Else is New


  1. Links 26/2/2021: Wine 6.3, Genode OS Framework 21.02

    Links for the day



  2. Links 26/2/2021: GNU Poke 1.0 is Out and Rocky Linux Leaves Microsoft GitHub

    Links for the day



  3. Microsoft's Status in Web Servers is So Bad That It Has Fallen Off Charts, is Now Partly Delisted

    In several categories or criteria Microsoft is no longer even listed by Netcraft; the share has become rather minuscule during the pandemic, which convinced more companies to explore expense-cutting moves



  4. We Take Away Your Freedom for Your Own Safety...

    People are herded like cattle and protest/dissent will be demonised as part of the new norm; what will be the cost of the pandemic and will resistance to the status quo ever be permitted to resume?



  5. EPO President Pushes Illegal Software Patents in South America (Over the Telephone With a Misleading New Puff Piece)

    The EPO's "news" section has become worse than a form of distraction (from the EPO's internal rot); it celebrates illegal and unlawful practices, spreading them to other continents



  6. The Free Software Foundation Warns Against Using Twitter

    Richard Stallman said Twitter was OK because it was possible to use it without proprietary software; that's no longer the case, so the Free Software Foundation (FSF) speaks out against it. It speaks about it more than 3 months after the problem became a known one and also an irreversible one (maybe Twitter would have reversed the decision if the media or the FSF actually spoke about it early enough).



  7. IRC Proceedings: Thursday, February 25, 2021

    IRC logs for Thursday, February 25, 2021



  8. Stéphane Bortzmeyer Explains Gemini Protocol (February 2021)

    A recent talk from Stéphane Bortzmeyer about Gemini and what it is for (or why)



  9. Links 26/2/2021: Istio 1.7.8 Announced, Blender 2.92, Firebird 3.0 Language Reference, FSF Against Twitter

    Links for the day



  10. Special Thanks to Mogz

    Credit where it's due to Mogz



  11. Modifying WordPress to Include Gemini Links in All Articles (Assuming a Canonical URL Form)

    In order to promote the departure from the World Wide Web (where possible and suitable; sites with text don't typically need Web-like features) one can promote the analogous pages in one's Gemini capsule; we suggest a way of doing so in WordPress (the most widely used CMS)



  12. Links 25/2/2021: RHEL for Open-Source Infrastructure, GNOME 40 Beta, LXPanel 0.10.1

    Links for the day



  13. IBM and Qt Don't Understand Free Software and They Now Impose Terms and Conditions on Who Qualifies for Use of Free Software Free of Charge

    IBM and Qt Don't Understand Free Software and They Now Impose Terms and Conditions on Who Qualifies for Use of Free Software Free of Charge



  14. Techrights Gemini Capsule, Now With Over 35,000 Pages and Files

    Blog posts combined with static (plain text) files are now 36,000+ in number, just for Gemini protocol alone; that number keeps growing as our conversion proceeds and evolves (our software will be released under terms of the AGPLv3)



  15. Eventually, or Hopefully, Many People Will Come Back to What the Web Used to Be (Or Web Alternatives More Like the 'Old' Web)

    With RSS feeds making a comeback and a resurgence of personal blogs we can take back the Web from a cabal of tech/Internet giants and social control media, censored, curated and spied on by oligarchy



  16. If Wikipedia is Controlled by Corporations and Mobs, It Needs to Be 'Cancelled'

    Facts have never truly mattered in social control media sites; it certainly seems as though Wikipedia now suffers the very same issue/deficit, allowing oligarchs and their companies to define what goes on in the world and which people Wikipedia should regard as persona non grata



  17. GNU/Linux Reaffirms Its Status as the Universal and Inter-planetary Operating System

    The operating system made for and by scientists (not business sharks and marketing cults) is winning the battle, and not only in this planet



  18. IRC Proceedings: Wednesday, February 24, 2021

    IRC logs for Wednesday, February 24, 2021



  19. Links 25/2/2021: Kali Linux 2021.1, Wine Launcher 1.4.46, and Google's Security Posing

    Links for the day



  20. Links 24/2/2021: MariaDB 10.5.9, Krita 4.4.3 Beta, and Debuginfod Server for Debian

    Links for the day



  21. Self-Host Your Videos, Take Full Advantage of HTML5 and Video Attributes

    For self-hosting of videos over the World Wide Web (Gemini too can handle videos; its clients/browsers can, for example, link video files/URLs to external media players) it's worth reviewing the full set of features made available by the standards because a lot can be accomplished without JavaScript and without unnecessary bloat/complexity



  22. Trying Out NoiseTorch to Reduce Background Sound/Noise in GNU/Linux

    An introduction to noisetorch (or NoiseTorch), an application that helps create virtual microphones/devices with reduced background noise



  23. How the Big Banks and OIN Can Whitewash Software Patents and Do Nothing Concrete About Patent Trolls

    Response to the puff piece entitled "How the Big Banks and OIN Can Lock Out Patent Trolls with Enabled Publications"



  24. IRC Proceedings: Tuesday, February 23, 2021

    IRC logs for Tuesday, February 23, 2021



  25. How to Set Up a Gemini Server of Your Own, Even on a Simple Single-Board Computer

    Using Agate to start one's own Gemini capsule (self-hosted) is a lot simpler than one might be inclined to believe; this is a detailed HOWTO, hoping to encourage more people to join Gemini space, which is fast-growing and free of garbage



  26. Links 23/2/2021: Tails 4.16, Libinput 1.17, Fwupd 1.5.7, Firefox 86, NeoChat 1.1

    Links for the day



  27. The Word Master is Not Problematic in Most Contexts and Its Origin Hasn't a Connection to Slavery

    Slavery is to the word "master" mostly disconnected; it might, however, be closely connected in the minds of racists or the agenda of highly racist corporations (profiting from racism) that look for ways to distract from their racism



  28. On Misapplication, Misuse, Overuse and Abuse of Words (to Suit False Narratives)

    It is looking like the word "abuse" has been extended to basically mean all sorts of things including the act of actually exposing real abuse



  29. The Administrative Council Needs to Fix the EPO While It's Still Possible

    EPO staff and former staff (pensioners) aren't happy and the it's the responsibility of the Administrative Council to do something before it's too late (the reputation of the Office is already severely harmed and it's unable/unwilling to recruit suitable and qualified people, both as examiners and managers, respectively)



  30. 'These Questions Remain Unanswered': Campinos Became Battistelli Just Halfway Through His Term

    The Central Staff Committee of the EPO highlights the grim situation or the deadlock reached after totally dysfunctional Office management somehow managed to kill off channels of communication, in effect going back to where things were back in 2018 under Battistelli


RSS 64x64RSS Feed: subscribe to the RSS feed for regular updates

Home iconSite Wiki: You can improve this site by helping the extension of the site's content

Home iconSite Home: Background about the site and some key features in the front page

Chat iconIRC Channel: Come and chat with us in real time

Recent Posts