EditorsAbout the SiteComes vs. MicrosoftUsing This Web SiteSite ArchivesCredibility IndexOOXMLOpenDocumentPatentsNovellNews DigestSite NewsRSS

01.08.09

Microsoft’s Highly Confidential GNU/Linux Share Figures (2003)

Posted in Antitrust, GNU/Linux, Microsoft at 9:47 am by Dr. Roy Schestowitz

Antitrust exhibit unleashed

According to Microsoft’s own intelligence, almost 20% of the organisations in Brazil intended to move to GNU/Linux in 2003. Is that why Microsoft sends lackeys over there [1, 2]?

Microsoft calls this “Linux Heat Map.” It pretty much contradicts claims that Microsoft is not bothered by desktop GNU/Linux.

Linux heat map
View large image
View the original PDF

That’s Microsoft own estimation and that’s just for desktops in 2003. GNU/Linux has gained a lot since.

“[If I ask you who is Microsoft's biggest competitor now, who would it be?] Open…Linux. I don’t want to say open source. Linux, certainly have to go with that.”

Steve Ballmer (Microsoft’s CEO), February 28th, 2008

Update: Here it is in ODF format, thanks to a reader who transcribed it by hand. Some of the numbers were hard to make out, so the reader would not claim 100% accuracy.

Share in other sites/networks: These icons link to social bookmarking sites where readers can share and discover new web pages.
  • Reddit
  • email
  • Slashdot

If you liked this post, consider subscribing to the RSS feed or join us now at the IRC channels.

Pages that cross-reference this one

19 Comments

  1. Dan O'Brian said,

    January 8, 2009 at 9:57 am

    Gravatar

    It pretty much contradicts claims that Microsoft is not bothered by desktop GNU/Linux.

    Where does it show that Brazil is moving to Linux on the desktop?

    It might be true, I don’t know, but the “proof” you supplied does not show that at all. It just says Linux (which could just as easily be on servers or some mix).

    The 20% you mentioned for Brazil is also just percentage of businesses evaluating-or-deploying Linux, just wanted to be clear that it isn’t the percentage of businesses actually running Linux (which is nearer to 0.4% to 4%, depending on the business size).

    It should also be noted that these figures don’t tell us how many of the servers/desktops at these businesses run Linux. For all we know, it could just be 1 machine or it could be all of them (or anywhere in between).

  2. Dan O'Brian said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:01 am

    Gravatar

    The 20% you mentioned for Brazil is also just percentage of small/medium sized businesses.

    Although, to be fair, there is a good percentage of other sized businesses evaluating Linux as well.

    (MidMarket: 26.6% and Enterprise: 13%)

  3. Roy Schestowitz said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:01 am

    Gravatar

    “Forty percent of servers run Windows, 60 percent run Linux…”

    Steve Ballmer (September 2008)

  4. Dan O'Brian said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:04 am

    Gravatar

    And… that refutes my comments, how, exactly?

  5. Dan O'Brian said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:17 am

    Gravatar

    In case it still hasn’t sunk in yet, my point is that this data sheet taken completely out of context (which it is), is useless for drawing any meaningful conclusions about how badly Linux is eating into Microsoft’s install-base (on either servers or desktops).

  6. twitter said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:20 am

    Gravatar

    Dan, it’s hard to parse the phrase “primary OS” as anything but desktop OS, unless M$ recommends dual booted servers. Besides that, Windows on the desktop is where M$’s big money comes from. Servers to them are more of a way to keep that lock in than they are a source of revenue. The figures have only gotten worse for them since the Vista Failure.

  7. Roy Schestowitz said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:32 am

    Gravatar

    Dan,

    I’ve been busy doing something else while you carried on spewing your usual heckles.

    If you hate this site so much, read another site.

  8. Dan O'Brian said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:37 am

    Gravatar

    twitter: I don’t think Primary OS means desktop, necessarily.

    However, after re-examining the sheet it seems I was missing the “% Organizations that will Change Primary OS to Linux” row which is the row that had 19%, 26.6%, 13% (which I mistakenly noted in a previous comment as being from the “Evaluating…” row).

    Phrased like that, I would suspect that “Primary OS” likely means that the businesses are planning on installing Linux on a majority of the machines they have – hence “Primary OS”. I doubt they are talking about dual-booting here.

    So it’s a bit clearer than I had originally read, but we still don’t know how many of those businesses actually stuck with Linux (I remember a lot of businesses at that time making a big fuss about switching to Linux only to later discover that their purpose was to get a cheaper price from Microsoft).

  9. Roy Schestowitz said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:39 am

    Gravatar

    I should have the text soon.

  10. Dan O'Brian said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:43 am

    Gravatar

    Roy: “the text” as in the rest of the context that this chart was meant to be viewed with?

    If so, could you consider, in the future, posting these sorts of things in the same article rather than posting the chart alone and then the context in a later article?

    I think it would help everyone (including yourself).

  11. Roy Schestowitz said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:48 am

    Gravatar

    I’ll modify this one as I go along.

  12. Roy Schestowitz said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:54 am

    Gravatar

    Okay, ODF-formatted sheet added.

  13. Master Myztry said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:55 am

    Gravatar

    Virtualization and Terminal Services will be important in the transition.
    A lot of the original Windows boxes commonly had a Telnet connection to the existing mainframe software.
    In situations where Linux is rising, Windows becomes like the (legacy) mainframe. Thus the overlap of Operating Systems.

  14. AlexH said,

    January 8, 2009 at 11:13 am

    Gravatar

    It would be interesting to compare Microsoft’s numbers with other people’s. I doubt Microsoft is gathering these numbers directly; it would be interesting to see who they trust (since this is effectively competitor analysis).

  15. twitter said,

    January 8, 2009 at 11:28 am

    Gravatar

    Dan, there are some very good public indicators of where things have gone since M$ made this chart. Especially telling is the US market, which was one of the lowest GNU/Linux adaptors at the time. As early as July 2007, a Patchlink study of 250 businesses found GNU/Linux migration plans up from 2% to 8%. By November more than 40% of IT pros had plans to leave Windows in the next year. In April of 2008, Gartner declared the collapse of Windows. At the same time more commercial developers had switched to GNU/Linux than Vista. By the end of the year both large and small businesses were planning to skip Vista, leaving OSX and GNU/Linux to take up the slack. I have not seen recent numbers but they have to look worse for M$ – the only thing the company had going for them was a set of inferior defacto standards. With both large business and government looking to get away from those standards, that advantage is nullified.

  16. zeke123 said,

    February 4, 2009 at 3:33 pm

    Gravatar

    You had a few links to Brazil yesterday like:
    http://ostatic.com/blog/brazilian-ministry-of-education-embraces-open-source-in-a-big-way

    and I just found in my links this April post from KDE developer Mauricio Piacentini:
    http://piacentini.livejournal.com/7871.html

    50,000,000 brazilian students will be using KDE based Gnu-Linux distros once their project is completed by the end of this year.
    Yeah, these are not buyers but users which is an important distinction.

    I travelled to Brazil in 2006 and Venezuela in 2008 and got to learn a lot about the Brazilan recycling programs for old hardware for the favelas. Both countries have a rich upper class and a huge dirt poor population although Venezuela is light years ahead in terms of accessibility to education (imagine the nerve of that bastard Chavez giving medical and dental care to the 75% of the population which has never seen a dentist or doctor).
    Gnu-Linux is an important component when it comes to recycling old and still usable hardware and their purchases of new equipment is overwhelmingly penguinlike.
    Most importantly the Brazilian FLOSS community is huge and vibrant and recognizes the importance of collaboration and controlling their own destiny.

    I would say that the Brazilian Gnu-Linux deployments are the largest anywhere on the planet and its community one of the strongest. Of course, in the anglophone world, it might as well be invisible.

  17. Roy Schestowitz said,

    February 4, 2009 at 4:02 pm

    Gravatar

    We have a regular contributor here from Brazil. The Linux mindshare (and market share) over there is high.

  18. David Gargan said,

    February 19, 2009 at 2:37 pm

    Gravatar

    I am very interested in the topic of market share of MS vs Open Source in Brasil. I am thinking of moving to Brasil shortly and was considering on how to leverage my IT skills in that market.
    I am currently a Livelink consultant with most of that experience on Windows (I am MCSE NT4) though I do have some exposure to Sun OS (Solaris 7).
    Should I be considering becoming more proficient at the Open Source or is MS making enough progress in Brasil that I may find opportunities by cerifying at the newer MSCE levels?

    Thanks inadvance, I would really like to get in contact with your Brazilian contributor (Eu falo Portugues).

  19. Roy Schestowitz said,

    February 19, 2009 at 4:20 pm

    Gravatar

    David,

    There are many videos right here that you may find informative. These includes chats with people who provide GNU/Linux training in Brazil. Let me know if you need more resources.

What Else is New


  1. Links 25/10/2020: GNU Taler's IETF Milestone, RISC OS 5.28 and New Ubuntu Community Council

    Links for the day



  2. IRC Proceedings: Saturday, October 24, 2020

    IRC logs for Saturday, October 24, 2020



  3. Links 24/10/2020: GDB 10.1, Kodachi 7.4, Wine 5.20

    Links for the day



  4. Celebrating Code of Conduct Violations

    Reprinted with permission from Daniel Pocock



  5. The Militarised Elephant in the Room Still Commands a Lot of Free Software Development

    We take a difficult (albeit in-depth and perfectly factual) look at IBM's past and present; considering this is the company that controls Red Hat (which in turn controls many key projects in GNU/Linux) we need a better understanding of the real context, not PR fluff and marketing



  6. Juve Patent's Love of Patent Trolls and Their Misinformation

    The press 'gutter' known as Juve (basically propaganda disguised as 'news' since years ago) has gotten to the point where the publisher is just an extension of lawyers and liars



  7. IRC Proceedings: Friday, October 23, 2020

    IRC logs for Friday, October 23, 2020



  8. Look How Many Tux I Give!

    "Long live rms, long live (Hyperbola) GNU/BSD, and happy hacking."



  9. Embrace, Extend, and Extensions: Two New Reasons to Delete GitHub, Which Microsoft Ruined for Everyone (Except the Copyright Cartel and Other Censors)

    GitHub is being turned into a garbage dump with malicious masters (or monsters, or mobsters); many people are denied access for using the 'wrong' browser and developers/projects are being censored (not for doing anything wrong or illegal, either)



  10. [Meme] When EPO Staff Claims to be 'Ill' or 'Sick'... During a Pandemic's European Peak

    Gotta check and verify that those 'lazy' EPO examiners aren't just faking being ill (in order to not meet "production" targets)



  11. The EPO Has Relegated or Lowered Itself to Extremely Poor Standards

    Today's EPO continues to reaffirm the image of global weakness; having failed to improve the working conditions and quality of the work (its actions did the exact opposite), it's nowadays begging China to send over lots of workload irrespective of quality or merit and it is outsourcing the functions of the Office to the United States



  12. Links 23/10/2020: Turing Pi 2, GNU Parallel 20201022

    Links for the day



  13. IRC Proceedings: Thursday, October 22, 2020

    IRC logs for Thursday, October 22, 2020



  14. Links 23/10/2020: 'Groovy Gorilla' Everywhere in the News

    Links for the day



  15. For Better 'Tech Rights' in the United States (and the World at Large) the 'Orange Man' Needs to Go

    With less than a fortnight before election day we explain our stance from a purely tech-related rationale



  16. [Meme] Microsoft Never 'Brought' Skype to GNU/Linux (It Just Bought Skype) and It Never 'Brought' Edge to GNU/Linux Either (Google Did)

    Foolish media or gullible 'journalists' are giving Microsoft credit for other people's work; this isn't the first time either, but it helps perpetuate lies such as "Microsoft loves Linux" (so who cares about facts anyway?)



  17. It's Going to be a Long, Long Winter

    Today we revert back to lock-down mode; we're reflecting and pondering what comes next



  18. TechRadar is an Irresponsible Clickbait and Misinformation Site Disguised as 'News'

    TechRadar is no tech and no radar, either. It's just an opportunistic click-harvesting machine, disguised as a source of "news"; today we deal with the latest example (among many).



  19. Links 22/10/2020: LibreOffice 6.4.7, Septor 2020.5, Ubuntu 20.10 Released, FreeBSD Quarterly Status Report

    Links for the day



  20. IRC Proceedings: Wednesday, October 21, 2020

    IRC logs for Wednesday, October 21, 2020



  21. Living Humbly (With Older Technology or None) is More Compatible With Privacy- and Freedom-Respecting Technological Lifestyle

    Simplicity sometimes trumps so-called 'novelty', especially when it comes to human rights and users' freedom



  22. Reasons Why You (and Everybody Else) Should Join the Fight for Software Freedom

    Society is being closely watched and controlled (more so during/after the latest pandemic) and people must carefully consider the true importance of resisting proprietary technology (controlled remotely by state actors)



  23. Ways and Means to Reduce One's Dependency on Google's Various Monopolies and Near-Monopolies

    Getting rid of Google means a lot more than embracing DumbDumbGo (DDG) or some other sites that spy just like Google; we're taking stock of some options



  24. The European Commission is Still M.I.A. Regarding EPO Corruption (and the EPO's Management Plays Dirty, as Always)

    There's no change in the EU; the EUIPO and EPO enjoy complete and total immunity/impunity, with the Commission being manned by those who are deeply complicit



  25. 10 Reasons Why All This 'Edge for Linux' Coverage is a Total Farce

    The fake hype surrounding "Edge" is an inauthentic hype/buzz campaign made to coincide with anti-Google sentiments spread by Microsoft front/pressure groups



  26. Microsoft's IIS Has Collapsed Again This Past Month (and IIS Will Not and Cannot Survive This Way)

    Netcraft shows that Microsoft's decline further accelerates in the Web servers space; IIS is becoming financially unviable



  27. Links 21/10/2020: Alpine 3.12.1, Tor Browser 10.0.2

    Links for the day



  28. [Meme] US Department of Justice Should Have Taken on Microsoft Again, Not Google

    When lobbying, connections and political sway determine the actions of the American government it's hardly surprising that Bill Gates gets the Trump administration to fight for him (to make him even richer)



  29. [Meme] Banning Words, Gaslighting Volunteers

    What happens when institutions are themselves in violation of a CoC (institutional violation) and massive corporations that fund such institutional violations are defending demonisation of the individual (squashing ‘uncomfortable’ voices, even volunteers’)



  30. IRC Proceedings: Tuesday, October 20, 2020

    IRC logs for Tuesday, October 20, 2020


RSS 64x64RSS Feed: subscribe to the RSS feed for regular updates

Home iconSite Wiki: You can improve this site by helping the extension of the site's content

Home iconSite Home: Background about the site and some key features in the front page

Chat iconIRC Channel: Come and chat with us in real time

Recent Posts