From an internal EPO publication
THE following publication is not new, but it is still very relevant because Team Campinos with its propaganda mill "IAM" lied a lot in recent weeks. We repost it below with no further comment (none is needed, the charts speak volumes)
Munich, 04.07.2018 sc18025mp – 0.2.1/1.3.3
Clarification – Grant Rate
Some colleagues approached us with questions about the grant rate at the EPO. In a recent Discussion paper on Patent Qualityi staff representation argued that the current grant rate is about 69% whereas the EPO management sees it at around 57% in 2017. During the September 2017 meeting of the administrative council, the German delegate raised concerns about the ever increasing grant rate, which they found had reached 70%ii. We decided to inquire by first seeking clarification from DG1. Unfortunately we did not receive an answer yet. So we looked at past press releases, articles and management presentation. We found that the grant rate at the EPO increased by 15 point from 42% in 2009 to 57% in 2017.
According to the IP5 Statistics Reportvii the EPO defines its grant rate as the number of published EP grants divided by the total number of completed EP examinations in a given year (#grants + #refusals + #withdrawals). Unfortunately, we were not able to determine the total number of completed EP examinations for a given year since the number of withdrawals and refusals are not available to us.
As we are not able to calculate the grant rate, we collected the grant rates for recent years by looking at press releases, management presentations and news articles: see Figure 1 and Table 1. Particularly notable is the rise from 50% to 57% from 2016 to 2017.
Figure 1: Grant rate as communicated by the EPO management
Table 1: Grant rate as communicated by the EPO (sources: 2007 and 2008iii, 2009iv, 2010 and 2011v, 2012vi, 2013 to 2014vii, 2015viii, 2016ix, 2017x)
Grant rates (as well as refusal and withdrawal rates) are of course a dubious indicator of patent quality. The underlying hypothesis is that the quality of the incoming patent applications remains stable over the years. However, this is unlikely, as it can be argued that the legal framework over the years improves. Furthermore, search tools for applicants to check available prior art before filing an application are much better today than some years ago.
Hence, whether the grant rate gives much indication about patent quality is open for discussion. However, the grant rate communicated by the EPO indicates an increase of 15 points in comparison with 2009. We think that this deserves a proper and transparent analysis.
Discussion Paper on Patent Quality
We are pleased that the Discussion Paper on Patent Quality finally triggered some discussion on patent quality within the management. In our view this is urgently needed. The statement that the grant rate increased from 50% to 70% was based on incorrect data; now thanks to new data provided by the management we are able to give more precise figuresxi. The result is that absolute values are different but the trend of an increasing grant rate is real: The grant rate increased from 42% to 57%.
Unfortunately, when investigating the grant rate we need to rely on press releases by the EPO, news articles and management presentations. We cannot directly verify the numbers. In particular, we could not find the yearly total number of completed EP examination proceedings for the years 2009 to 2017, i.e., the exact number of grants, withdrawals and refusals. Before 2009 this number was published in the Annual Report which the EPO publishes every year. We asked the EPO to provide us with the necessary data, albeit with no luck until now.
The error in the calculation of the Grant Rate in the Discussion paper on Patent Quality The main data sources for the grant rate as published in the Discussion Paper on Patent Quality were the Annual Reports of the EPO. The wrong assumption was that the total number of completed EP examinations in a given year corresponded to the number of “Examinations” as published in the Annual
Reports. For example for 2017 “Examinations” amounted to 153.858 (B) and the number of published grants to 105 635 (A), see Figure 2 and Figure 3, for 2017. Hence, a calculated grant rate of 0,69% for 2017 would follow by the division A/B. However, “Examinations” does not correspond to the number of completed procedures in EP examination, but to the total number of communications sent out by examiners. In the yearly report for the EPO every single communication counts as a product, as can be seen in Figure 4. Internally for examiners only final actions count as products, hence the error of interpretation.
Figure 2: Examinations (Annual Report 2017xii , EPO Intranet)
Figure 3: Number of grants in 2017 (Annual Report 2017xii, EPO intranet)
Figure 4: Total products (Annual Report 2017xii, EPO intranet)
____ i Good enough? A discussion paper on patent quality, 2018, https://munich.suepo.org/archive/su18003mp.pdf ii CA/91/17, Draft Minutes of the 153rd meeting of the Administrative Council, paragraph 88, 24.11.2017, http://main23.internal.epo.org/projects/micado/micadn.nsf/198832a7132e4641c1256fcc002de3ed/e2ca77d3ad94c8cbc12581e20046cee0?OpenDocument iii European Patent Office takes a tougher stance on quality as European patent applications continue to rise, IAM, 2009, https://www.epo.org/news-issues/press/releases/archive/2009/20090317.html iv EPO patent grant rate plunges as the backlog grows, IAM, 2010, http://www.iam-media.com/Blog/Detail.aspx?g=76431827-efdb-430f-84d6-e595e6789902 v Low grant rate is an indicator of quality, says EPO president; UK lags however you look at it, 2012, http://www.iam-media.com/Blog/Detail.aspx?g=4d81a9f1-03bb-4438-b538-63928cd398a7 vi IP5 Statistics Reports 2012 Edition, https://www.fiveipoffices.org/statistics/statisticsreports/statisticsreport2012edition/IP5statistics2012.pdf vii The EPO defines its grant rate as “... the number of applications that were granted during the reporting period, divided by the number of disposals in the reporting period (applications granted plus those abandoned or refused).”, IP5 Statistics Reports 2014 Edition, https://www.fiveipoffices.org/statistics/statisticsreports/2014edition/ip5sr2014.pdf viii EPO achieves major performance gains in 2015, press release, 2016, https://www.epo.org/news-issues/news/2016/20160113.html ix EPO Quality Report 2016, https://www.epo.org/news-issues/news/2016/20160113.html x Management Presentation, May 2018, Our commitment to Quality, DG1 xi We approached the management prior to publication of the Discussion paper on Patent Quality to discuss and verify the data, but unfortunately to no avail. xii Annual report 2017, Granted Patents, https://www.epo.org/about-us/annual-reports-statistics/annual-report/2017/statistics/granted-patents.html#tab1
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