Bonum Certa Men Certa

10 Novell Predictions for 2009

LET us wait and see how these fare one year from now:

  1. Mono will become more tightly integrated and prevalent inside GNOME although it will remain possible to exclude (not for the faint-hearted)


  2. Due to problems of its own, Microsoft will decrease financial support of Novell and maybe even betray it in a small way


  3. Novell will announce more layoffs


  4. Tension between Red Hat and Novell will lead to more frequent wars of words


  5. Microsoft will cite Novell as a reason for patent 'liabilities', using examples like Moonlight and Mono that 'steal' Microsoft's 'innovations'


  6. Sun or the OpenOffice.org community will go more vocal and vilify Novell for its fork of OpenOffice.org


  7. At least one top executive -- of a level comparable to that of a VP or SVP -- will resign


  8. Novell's shares will decline to about $2.5 (and the rest of the market follow this trend), which means that its market cap will fall below 1 billion dollars


  9. Public protests against Novell will become more common


  10. Novell and Microsoft will announce more collaborations, such as joint work on XPS, HD, and maybe even DRM


Any other guesses?

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