EditorsAbout the SiteComes vs. MicrosoftUsing This Web SiteSite ArchivesCredibility IndexOOXMLOpenDocumentPatentsNovellNews DigestSite NewsRSS

11.06.10

Another Example of IDC Giving Bogus (Meaningless) Numbers and Mary Jo Foley Failing to Report the News

Posted in Deception, GNU/Linux, Microsoft, Red Hat, Servers at 1:02 am by Dr. Roy Schestowitz

Arguing with IDG

Summary: Why the impact and market share of GNU/Linux is understated and who is responsible for it

A FEW days ago we showed a Microsoft employee stating the obvious by saying that “Mary Jo does not [do real journalism] and that’s why she gets interviews at Microsoft” and on about a dozen of occasions we’ve explained why IDC’s numbers regarding GNU/Linux are meaningless and deceiving by design (IDC lies in many other areas, but just that’s how it makes money after all, by selling bias). IDG’s IDC is the Fox News of IT and even its own staff is admitting that they cheat or make claims up.

Our reader Wayne, whom we hope to have on our show (TechBytes) some time later this month, has just published a rebuttal to this whole nonsense from Microsoft, Mary Jo Foley, and IDC (which Microsoft routinely pays [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]). Here are some parts of Wayne’s long analysis.

I was pointed at an article on The Unofficial Apple Web Blog titled Xserve End Of Life: Some opinions and ideas about Apple’s server strategy. I read it, and the numbers didn’t make any sense, so I started looking. Steven Sande, writer of the TUAW article got his numbers from an article by Mary Jane Foley at ZDNet titled IDC: Windows Server still rules the server roost. Mary Jane, who should know better by now got her numbers from an IDC (International Data Corporation) Press Release.

Note the chain. Steve, to Mary Jane, to IDC.

[..]

Now it’s quite possible that Windows does have 75.3% of units shipped, that IDC tracked. Most large servers need to be reliable, and therefore they wouldn’t run Windows. If Windows was the primary OS installed on cheap commodity hardware, then the numbers might make sense.

Curiously the IDC study doesn’t cover servers shipped without an installed Operating System. There are a lot of companies that have an OS that they’ve tuned specifically for their requirements, either on their own, or using a company like Red Hat or Novell. And that’s another issue. Red Hat and Novell are two of the largest Linux Server Operating System vendors. They aren’t mentioned in the report. Why not? A quick look at Red Hat’s latest 10K filing with the American Securities and Exchange Commission shows that Red Hat booked revenues of $748 Million American Dollars!

Now this really puts ia different spin on things. Total sales of servers with a Microsoft Windows Server variant were reported as $5.1 Billion for Q1-2010. The IDC report says that sales of servers with Microsoft Windows Servers installed for Q4-2009 were $5.4 Billion. Let’s make a rash assumption – sales of servers with Microsoft Windows Server installed came to about $22.0 Billion for a full year.

[...]

OK, so let’s compare Red Hat to Microsoft. First off, Red Hat doesn’t sell Client Access Licenses. They don’t even really sell their software, they sell support contracts for it. So a direct comparison is hard to make, but Red Hat support for one year, with unlimited users, is less expensive than Microsoft Windows 2008R2 with only five users. And after the year is up, you can keep running your Red Hat system. Oh, Red Hat would rather that you continue to pay support, and using their support means you could probably employ a smaller IT staff, so it’s probably still less expensive to use Red Hat.

But Red Hat is probably installed on more systems than Microsoft Windows Server, based on the company’s own numbers.

Hold on – it get’s better still. Have you ever heard of CENT-OS (short for The Community ENTerprise Operating System)? CENT-OS is a totally open and free version of Red Hat. Yes, you heard me right. Free. As in Beer. No Cost. Estimates I have seen (which may or may not be accurate) say that CENT-OS is probably used on ten times as many servers as Red Hat!

So let’s see – someone is saying that Microsoft holds 75.3% of the server market by units shipped? How could this be?

Simple. IDC is only recording some of the data. Some of it, such as the number of White Box (generic hardware, assembled by smaller players in the server market) servers probably isn’t available to them. Some of it, they may be ignoring. It’s curious that all of the big server manufacturers offer bare servers (no operating system), but IDC didn’t provide any numbers for bare servers. IDC has been around a long time. They know about bare servers, so rather than curious I’d say that their ignoring them is down right suspicious.

Microsoft’s monopoly continues to depend (to a certain degree) on a lot of lies and alternation of perceptions. On some occasion 2 years ago Steve Ballmer admitted that “60 percent [of servers] run Linux…”

Mary Jo Foley and the likes of her should spend less time parroting Microsoft-funded entities and actually do the research (or ensure its validity). In the world of academia they would get an “F”.

Share this post: These icons link to social bookmarking sites where readers can share and discover new web pages.
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • Reddit
  • co.mments
  • DZone
  • email
  • Google Bookmarks
  • LinkedIn
  • NewsVine
  • Print
  • Technorati
  • TwitThis
  • Facebook

If you liked this post, consider subscribing to the RSS feed or join us now at the IRC channels.

Pages that cross-reference this one

12 Comments

  1. The Mad Hatter said,

    November 6, 2010 at 8:11 am

    Gravatar

    Re Ballmer and 60%, we know that Ballmer lies, he’s been caught doing it often enough. And when he lies, he lies to favor Microsoft.

    Therefore my personal suspicions are that the Linux Server market share is something along the line of 75% or higher. No, I can’t prove it. But of the companies I’ve talked to, the only Windows servers they are running are mail servers running Microsoft Exchange.

    Give them a good option, with 90% of the capabilities, and 50% of the costs (Disruptive Technology), and Exchange will go bye bye.

    Suggested reading – Clayton Christensen – The Innovator’s Dilemma.

    Wayne

    Dr. Roy Schestowitz Reply:

    I’m not sure they’ll need Exchange protocols, either (years down the line). When Windows loses dominance, so will Office, which in turn may render Exchange somewhat deprecated.

    The Mad Hatter Reply:

    Um, you missed my point. There needs to be a replacement for Exchange itself, not the protocols. Gmail is being used as an Exchange replacement in some places, but it hasn’t quite taken off, and I think that the reason is that most companies want to control their email server (this is based on conversations with IT people).

    But Exchange is damned expensive, for all of it’s options. So as I said, give them a Disruptive Technology, with 90% of the capabilities, and 50% of the costs, and Exchange will loose market share.

    Hell, you know what a hundred user Client Access License for Exchange costs. How many companies would look into something that would let them avoid that huge cost?

    Dr. Roy Schestowitz Reply:

    There are already replacements, they just need more exposure. See the following old list of options:

    http://techrights.org/2008/05/30/saving-students-from-the-latest-microsoft-lock-in-live-edu/

  2. The Mad Hatter said,

    November 6, 2010 at 9:47 pm

    Gravatar

    Ah, but so far they aren’t the right replacements. All too often they are trying to imitate MS Exchange, instead they need to redefine what a mail/calendar/appointment server is, and how it functions.

    After all, why try to imitate the lowest common denominator. Reach for the Stars!

    Wayne

    PS: Yes, this is a call for those projects to look at what they’ve done, and plan for the future.

    Dr. Roy Schestowitz Reply:

    This is done for the same reason that office suites support Microsoft formats. Thankfully we have ODF now.

    twitter Reply:

    I don’t think you are being fair to the replacements. You can call Kontact an Outlook replacement, for example, but that’s a serious insult to Kontact and misleads the reader. When you actually use the replacement, you start to find features and realize that the authors did “reach for the stars” and give themselves what they wanted. I’m not an Exchange expert, thank goodness, but I imagine it’s just a crude aping of Novel groupware, Lotus Notes and stuff from Sun. I’d be shocked if OpenLDAP and KDE Groupware did not provide far more in a more reliable package. Exchange, I’m sure, only looks useful if your desktops are crippled by Microsoft Windows.

    Dr. Roy Schestowitz Reply:

    …and Office (Outlook). That’s the point I was making earlier.

  3. The Mad Hatter said,

    November 8, 2010 at 1:53 am

    Gravatar

    FYI, I was doing research on another article, and I was looking up the OS market share stats as reported by Wikipedia, and noticed that they were quoting Mary Jane’s numbers, that they hadn’t even checked and noticed that her numbers didn’t match the IDC press release.

    I left them a note about it on the discussions page, with a link to my article. Wonder if they will fix it?

    Wayne

    Dr. Roy Schestowitz Reply:

    In your new piece (which we talk about in IRC at the moment) you overlook Wikipedia’s population bias, which I referred to directly in this recent post.

    The Mad Hatter Reply:

    Actually no, I didn’t. I even mentioned their statement about the problems of getting accurate numbers. And they’ve responded to my complaint, and fixed the figures.

    Yes, Wikipedia has problems. I disagree with a lot of things that they do. But at least they attempt to reach accuracy.

    The Mad Hatter Reply:

    BTW, forgot to mention that I absolutely love the image. It’s a beauty.

What Else is New


  1. Brand Dilution in Action

    Microsoft's proprietary software which spies on people and businesses is getting a "free ride" on the "Linux" brand; and nobody seems to care, nobody seems to notice how perverse that it



  2. At the EPO Money -- Not Quality -- is King

    Financiers are ruining quality



  3. The EPO's Strategic Failure 2023

    Potemkin social dialogue



  4. IRC Proceedings: Wednesday, December 11, 2019

    IRC logs for Wednesday, December 11, 2019



  5. EPO Promoting Software Patents in Countries Where These Are Illegal

    The EPO's vision of 'unitary' software patents (patents on algorithms in countries that disallow such patents, as per their national laws) won't materialise, but in the meantime a lot of Invalid Patents (IPs) are granted in the form of European Patents (EPs) and this is wrong



  6. We Support GNU and the FSF But Remain Sceptical and Occasionally Worry About an RMS-less FSF

    Richard Stallman (RMS) is not in charge of the FSF anymore (it's Stallman who created the FSF) and there's risk the decisions will be made by people who don't share Stallman's ethics or the FSF's spirit



  7. Links 11/12/2019: Huawei Lobbied by Microsoft (Because of GNU/Linux) and Microsoft Still Googlebombs Linux to Promote 'Teams'

    Links for the day



  8. Links 11/12/2019: Edge Native Working Group, CrossOver 19.0 Released

    Links for the day



  9. Instead of Fixing Bug #1 Canonical/Ubuntu Contributes to Making the Bug Even More Severe (WSL/EEE)

    Following one seminal report about Canonical financially contributing to Microsoft's EEE efforts — celebrated openly by GNU/Linux opponentsclosing bug #1 Ubuntu basically decided not that it was fixed but that it would no longer attempt to fix it (“wontfix”)



  10. IRC Proceedings: Tuesday, December 10, 2019

    IRC logs for Tuesday, December 10, 2019



  11. Today's Example of Microsoft's Faked 'Love'

    “On 7 September 2017, users began noticing a message that stated “Skype for Business is now Microsoft Teams”. This was confirmed on 25 September 2017, at Microsoft’s annual Ignite conference,” according to Wikipedia



  12. Links 10/12/2019: Kubernetes 1.17, Debian Init Systems GR

    Links for the day



  13. 'Cancel Culture' as 'Thoughtpolice' Creep

    Richard Stallman spoke about an important aspect of censorship more than 2 decades ago (before “Open Source” even existed); it was published in Datamation (“Censoring My Software”) 23 years before a campaign of defamation on the Internet was used to remove him from MIT and FSF (censoring or ‘canceling’ Stallman himself)



  14. Microsoft Still Hates GNU/Linux and Mark Shuttleworth Knows It (But He is Desperate for Money)

    We're supposed to believe that a PR or image management (reputation laundering) campaign alone can turn Microsoft from GNU/Linux foe into friend/ally



  15. Actions Against EPO Corruption and Unitary Patent (UPC) Injustice/Lobbying

    The EPO is apparently going on strike again and an action against the UPC is scheduled for later this week (protest in Brussels)



  16. “The Fifth Freedom as a Meme”

    The issue with systemd (or SystemD) has provoked or at least stimulated discussions about the limits of the famous Four Freedoms



  17. IRC Proceedings: Monday, December 09, 2019

    IRC logs for Monday, December 09, 2019



  18. Demonstration Against Unitary Software Patents, Thursday 12 Dec in Brussels

    FFII's call to demonstrate against the UPC



  19. Links 9/12/2019: China on GNU/Linux, Canonical Wants Help to Improve Ubuntu

    Links for the day



  20. Links 9/12/2019: Linux 5.5 RC1, EasyOS Buster 2.1.9

    Links for the day



  21. IRC Proceedings: Sunday, December 08, 2019

    IRC logs for Sunday, December 08, 2019



  22. Mandatory Education for Those Who Use and Misuse Buzzwords Would Go a Long Way

    In an age of substitution — where marketing terms replace meaningful words and concepts — it has gotten more difficult to have honest debates, for example about the scope of patents



  23. Once Upon a Time Banter Was Allowed on Mailing Lists

    Hours ago Torvalds announced RC1 of the next Linux (kernel) release; it has been a while since he last said something ‘controversial’ (following his month at the penalty box); free speech deficit can make us weaker, not stronger (advantage to those who work in the dark)



  24. Links 8/12/2019: Debian Init Systems GR, NomadBSD 1.3

    Links for the day



  25. Can We Quit Celebrating DRM in GNU/Linux?

    Over the past couple of days various news sites and "Linux" sites expressed great satisfaction [1-5] over the passive embrace of Disney's DRM ploy (Disney+), even when Disney itself rejects DRM, seeing the harms practically caused by it [6,7]



  26. You Know WSL is Bad for GNU/Linux Because Anti-Linux People, Microsoft and Its Propagandists, Want People to Use That

    Microsoft and its boosters (and media partners) haven’t grown tired of spreading falsehoods to stigmatise and take control of GNU/Linux by creating their own versions and traps for it



  27. IRC Proceedings: Saturday, December 07, 2019

    IRC logs for Saturday, December 07, 2019



  28. 5 Years Ago the Linux Foundation Turned Linux.com Into a Non-Linux Site

    One can leverage the Internet Archive’s Wayback Machine to better understand how, over time, the Foundation called “Linux” deviated or diverged away from its mission statement for the sole purpose of raising corporate funds and selling influence to corporations (passing the community’s hard work to them — a form of tacit privatisation)



  29. Microsoft Redefining Ownership and Identity of GNU/Linux

    The idea that “Microsoft loves Linux” is as insane as it gets; but the lie which is “Microsoft loves Linux” is a powerful enabler of Microsoft entryism, e.g. if Greg steps down, does a Microsoft employee become the deputy of Linus Torvalds?



  30. Things That Cannot Be Said

    The limits on what we can say are mostly defined by what sources permit us to say publicly (for the sake of source protection)


RSS 64x64RSS Feed: subscribe to the RSS feed for regular updates

Home iconSite Wiki: You can improve this site by helping the extension of the site's content

Home iconSite Home: Background about the site and some key features in the front page

Chat iconIRC Channel: Come and chat with us in real time

Recent Posts